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NFL DFS: Week 16 Review (DraftKings)

Looking back at Week 16

A lot of cheap, playable options at wide receiver made the cash construction relatively straightforward, and the only real difference was whether or not you got the right cheap players or not. I did, and cleared the cash line with ease. In GPPs, however, I didn't get enough upside to make a splash, with my highest scoring lineup only producing a 3x return.

Let's get to it.

My GPP lineups

It's no surprise that my highest scoring GPP lineup was in a game I mentioned was in a YOLO spot I wanted to target. Unfortunately, my pieces around it were just average.

Here's the lineup:

  • QB: Deshaun Watson ($7600 - 7.77% owned - 30.76 points)

  • RB: Nick Chubb ($7800 - 18.95% owned - 17.6 points)

  • RB: Antonio Gibson ($6600 - 4.07% owned - 9.9 points)

  • RB - Flex: Austin Ekeler ($7600 - 19.66% owned - 15.8 points)

  • WR: Brandin Cooks ($6200 - 10.19% owned - 30.1 points)

  • WR: Jamison Crowder ($4500 - 15.84% owned - 29.32 points)

  • WR: AJ Green ($3400 - 5.17% owned - 10.4 points)

  • TE: Jordan Akins ($3300 - 2.06% owned - 7.9 points)

  • DEF: Washington ($3000 - 11.36% owned - 9 points)

Gibson someone I was hoping I would get lower owned, and I did - so even though he didn't produce, I'm okay with that process. I went in knowing that I wasn't going to play Chubb, Ekeler and David Montgomery in the same lineup together as they would usurp too much ownership. The stack was good enough - needed Akins to score really as he was much less optimal than other TEs around him - and it buoyed me enough to 3x.

Total points: 160.78

Cashing line: 142.8

Number of lineups that cashed: 6 (30%)

My Cash lineup

  • QB: Jalen Hurts ($7000 - 38.73% owned - 24.58 points)

  • RB: David Montgomery ($7700 - 62.45% owned - 20.1 points)

  • RB: Austin Ekeler (31.61% owned)

  • WR: Tee Higgins ($4700 - 34.88% owned - 21.9 points)

  • WR: Laviska Shenault ($3700 - 4.45% owned - 15.8 points)

  • WR: Cam Sims ($3300 - 9.93% owned - 9.3 points)

  • TE: Travis Kelce ($8500 - 28% owned - 22.8 points)

  • TE - Flex: Austin Hooper ($3500 - 27.49% owned - 14.1 points)

  • DEF: Baltimore ($4000 - 3.53% owned - 10 points)

Yes, that is a double TE cash lineup. That is vastly abnormal. But consider the situation: Kelce is basically a WR, playing in the highest total game, with a solid target/catch/yardage floor with TD upside, and Hooper was literally playing as a wide receiver. The cheap receiver combination plus Hooper basically allowed me to play whoever I want elsewhere, and I did - getting both RBs I viewed as the best plays up top, adding in Jalen, and still having money left over for literally any defense I wanted.

Total points: 154.38

Cashing line: 134.4

Players from last week's picks that didn't end up in my lineups

  • RB - Ito Smith. I just never got this low at running back, nor did I have a need to, as the floor boosts and theoretical upside at wide receiver around this price range had me constructing my rosters that way.

  • Technically I wrote up Keenan Allen with the caveat that we didn't have news yet; obviously I did not play him.

  • With 20 lineups in GPPs plus a cash lineup, everyone else made at least one lineup spot.

Profit beer!

I'm celebrating this week with a Gumballhead from 3 Floyds Brewing Company.

The regular season is winding down, but be sure to stay with us as we help you profit through the playoffs! Follow along by subscribing below, joining us on Facebook and enjoying some shenanigans with us on Twitter: Derek Devereaux, Mikey Henninger, and JJ Gosh.

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