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2024 Fantasy Football: Here are 3 players who's value increased after the NFL Draft!




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That said, please note that what you're about to read does not necessarily represent the views, opinions or beliefs of Mikey or anyone at Basement Brewed Fantasy Football.

 

2024 NFL Fantasy Football Post-Draft Risers


The NFL draft season is over, but fantasy managers’ draft seasons are just getting started. It’s time to grind and research what players are going to be valuable fantasy assets and what players to fade. Here are three guys whose value should only increase after the draft has come and gone.


 

⚡️ Ladd McConkey, WR, Los Angeles Chargers  


Out of all the rookie landing spots, Ladd McConkey might have the best situation fantasy-wise. A case can be made for both Keon Coleman and Xavier Worthy, but they already have established stars on their team that they will compete with for targets. The Los Angeles Chargers absolutely gutted their roster this past offseason and McConkey has every opportunity to become Justin Herbert’s top target as a rookie after being drafted in the second round of the NFL draft. Gone are the days of Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen hogging all the targets, so someone needs to step up. Quentin Johnson looks to improve on an abysmal rookie season and Josh Palmer isn’t anything special, so all eyes are on McConkey to provide a spark to a subpar offense. In drafting McConkey, the Chargers got a player who can play both on the outside (78.7% of his routes in 2023) and in the slot (21.3% of his routes in 2023). He is an excellent route runner, has great hands (only 2 drops in 2023), and has the speed to play on the outside in the NFL (4.39 40-yard dash time). I believe McConkey can finish as a top 25 PPR receiver as a rookie and almost immediately become Herbert’s security blanket. He will be force-fed targets and could have a very similar year to Jaylen Waddle’s rookie season (104 receptions, 1,015 yards, and 6 touchdowns). McConkey is getting drafted as the WR46 and 96th overall player (8th round). He has the upside and potential volume to outplay his ADP and will probably be a flex play for the first half of the season and could even jump into WR2/3 consideration once he gets settled into the Chargers’ offense.


2023 Advanced Metrics:


REC/G

YDS/G

TDS/G

YDS/REC

YAC/REC

YDS/RR

ADOT


3.75

60.36

0.25

16.1

6.3

3.26

12.2









KEY:








Excellent

4.6+

60+

0.75+

14+

6+

2.5+

13-15

Good

3.71-4.59

43-59.9

0.59-0.74

12-14

5-5.9

2.04-2.49

10-12.9

Average

2.9-3.7

32-42.9

0.41-0.58

10-12

4-4.9

1.65-2.03

8-9.9

Below Average

2.35-2.89

25-31.9

0.24-0.40

8-10

3-3.9

1.36-1.64

5.5-8.9

Bad

-2.35

-25

-0.24

-8

-3

-1.36

-5.5,15+


 

🦬 Dalton Kincaid, TE, Buffalo Bills


Assuming the Bills don’t trade for a high-caliber receiver, Dalton Kincaid will be the Buffalo Bills’ leading receiver. Kincaid finished his rookie season 2023 as the TE11 in PPR leagues. Even in a crowded offense with Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, Kincaid was second on the team in receiving yards (777) and receptions (81). Both Diggs and Davis have left for new teams, leaving a huge amount of newly vacated targets. Buffalo did select wide receiver Keon Coleman in the NFL draft a few weeks ago, but he shouldn’t be a huge threat to the perceived workload of Kincaid. He is currently being drafted as the TE6 with an ADP of 56 overall. He’s a smash hit at his current ADP due to being the top target of an elite quarterback and having little competition from the rest of the team, giving him both a higher floor and ceiling than the players being drafted around him (Kyle Pitts, Joe Mixon, Jayden Reed, Marquise Brown) It is in the range of outcomes that Kincaid finishes not only as a TE1 but as the overall TE1 in 2024 because of his combination of pass-catching talent and opportunity. 


2023 Advanced Metrics:



REC/G

YDS/G

TDS/G

YDS/REC

YAC/REC

YDS/RR

ADOT


4.56

42.1

0.13

9.2

4.3

1.46

6.7









KEY:








Excellent

4.6+

60+

0.75+

14+

6+

2.5+

13-15

Good

3.71-4.59

43-59.9

0.59-0.74

12-14

5-5.9

2.04-2.49

10-12.9

Average

2.9-3.7

32-42.9

0.41-0.58

10-12

4-4.9

1.65-2.03

8-9.9

Below Average

2.35-2.89

25-31.9

0.24-0.40

8-10

3-3.9

1.36-1.64

5.5-8.9

Bad

-2.35

-25

-0.24

-8

-3

-1.36

-5.5,15+

*Data pulled from the top 100 NFL pass catchers  in the 2023 season


 

💀 Zamir White, RB, Las Vegas Raiders


So you’re telling me I can get a workhorse back in the late rounds of redraft leagues? Count me in! Zamir White is a steal in the eighth round with a current ADP of 92 as the RB27. This is incredible value for a starting running back. The Las Vegas Raiders just let star running back Josh Jacobs walk in free agency and drafted Dylan Laube in the sixth round of the NFL draft, which means Zamir White’s role as the lead back is almost guaranteed. Since Josh Jacobs has been the dude in Vegas for the past five years, White hasn’t had much of an opportunity to show what he’s got. But in games where Josh Jacobs was out, he popped off. In the last four games of the 2023 season, White rushed for 397 yards and one touchdown. His best game of the season was against Kansas City where he rushed for 145 yards on 22 carries. (14.5 PPR points). White has the size and talent to be a three-down back and could be a league winner since he is being drafted so late. He may not be as much of a threat in the receiving game as other backs, but he will get the workload on the ground to make up for that. 2024 Zamir White will be what everyone thought 2023 Alexander Mattison would be and is an excellent late-round running back for those who draft wide receivers heavily in the first few rounds. 


Advanced Metrics (Games where Zamir White had five or more touches):


YPA

YDS/G

TDS/G

YDS/REC

YDS/RR


4.78

99.25

0.25

6.67

0.84







KEY:






Excellent

4.8+

70+

0.94+

10

1.7+

Good

4.6-4.79

56.25- 69.9

0.75-0.93

8-9.9

1.4-1.69

Average

4.3-4.59

41.20-56.24

0.56-0.74

6-7.9

1.0-1.39

Below Average

4.0-4.29

31.25-41.19

0.38-0.55

4-5.9

0.75-0.99

Bad

-4

-31.25

-0.38

-4

-0.75

*Data pulled from the top 100 NFL rushers in the 2023 season


Thank you for taking the time to check out my content! Follow me on Twitter @aidenhauser for more!

 

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