🏀 Best Free NBA Picks for PrizePicks and Underdog Today (2/21)
- Mikey Henninger
- 18 hours ago
- 3 min read
Below are the best free NBA Picks for PrizePicks and Underdog Today (2/21)
If you dig this content, the easiest way to support it is by downloading Betr and using code BBSMikey when signing up. When you do, you'll receive:
🎁 Tonight's free pick (you'll see it below)
💸 $10 free in your account (no deposit required)
💲50% deposit match all the way up to $200(!) in bonus funds
➕ 30 days free inside my VIP Group where I text the BEST data-backed plays right to your phone every single morning.
🎁 GIFT OF THE DAY
Jalen Brunson OVER 0.5 Points + Assists
OR
Sean Strickland OVER 0.5 SIG Strikes
You know what to do. Download Betr and enter code BBSMikey.
Beyond that, here are the best free NBA picks for Underdog and PrizePicks today.
🔥 Tyler Herro OVER 21.5 Points + Rebounds
Tyler Herro has been an absolute machine in this spot. He’s cleared 24+ points + rebounds in 11 of 12 games this season (92%), averaging 26.75 per game over that stretch. The only time he missed 21.5? He landed on 21 — barely short.
Yesterday was his first game back from injury, and I actually faded the over due to uncertainty. He responded by torching Atlanta for 28 PR. That’s encouraging. The only hesitation here is the back-to-back factor coming off injury — but form-wise, he’s rolling.
Memphis ranks 21st in points allowed and 23rd in rebounds allowed, which keeps this matchup friendly.
Books are leaning over as well:
Sleeper: -130
Hard Rock Bet: -125
🔥 Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 27.5 Points + Rebounds
KAT has cleared 28+ in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 30.7 PR during that span. He’s playing at a level that makes this number feel short based purely on recent production.
The Rockets are elite defensively overall (4th in points allowed, 2nd in rebounds allowed), but they’re just 17th in points allowed to centers specifically. Notably, 2 of the last 3 centers to face Houston cleared their PR line.
There’s also strong market support:
Underdog: -164 (strongest lean — definitely consider on Betr)
Caesars: -125
Novig: -121
Hard Rock & theScore: -120
Public betting data suggests this could be higher scoring than initially expected:
84% of bets and 89% of money on the game over
80% of money on Knicks to cover
❄️ Tyrese Maxey UNDER 38.5 Points + Assists
Maxey has stayed under 38 in 16 of his last 20 games (80%), averaging just 31.9 P+A in that stretch. Even without Joel Embiid and Paul George — which is the case tonight — he’s still under this line 75% of the time.
On the surface, this matchup looks juicy: New Orleans ranks 27th in both points and assists allowed. But they’re much stingier against point guards specifically, ranking 8th in points allowed to the position. Three of the last four PGs to face the Pelicans came up short.
Maxey himself had just 26 total points + assists against them on January 31.
Books strongly support the under:
Novig: -142
Sleeper: -141
Fliff: -130
FanDuel / BetMGM / theScore / Hard Rock: -125
Caesars: -124
ENJOY THE FOLLOWING BONUS PICK FROM MY VIP GROUP!
🔥 Desmond Bane OVER 18.5 Points
Bane has scored 19+ in 10 of his last 12 games (83%), averaging 22.08 PPG during that run. He’s been consistently clearing this number with room to spare.
The Suns look tough at first glance (6th in points allowed overall), but they rank 20th in points allowed to small forwards — where Bane is projected to start. Six of the last nine SFs to face Phoenix have gone over their points prop.
Market agreement:
Sleeper: -143
BetRivers: -137
Fliff: -135
Novig / FanDuel / theScore: -125
If you dig this content, the easiest way to support it is by downloading Betr and using code BBSMikey when signing up. When you do, you'll receive:
🎁 Tonight's free pick (you'll see it below)
💸 $10 free in your account (no deposit required)
💲50% deposit match all the way up to $200(!) in bonus funds
➕ 30 days free inside my VIP Group where I text the BEST data-backed plays right to your phone every single morning.