🏀 Best Free NBA Picks For Underdog and PrizePicks Today (22-9 Run🔥) | Player Props & Predictions | Friday February 20th
- Mikey Henninger
- 14 minutes ago
- 4 min read
🔥 WE'RE ON A HOT STREAK 🔥
We're having some fun with PrizePicks and Underdog over the last week or so!
5-2 yesterday, including 3-0 in the BBS VIP group!
4-0 in VIP over the last 2 days!
22-9 over the last 6 days
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Today's Best Free NBA Picks for Underdog and PrizePicks (Friday 2/20)
🎁 GIFT OF THE DAY
LeBron James OVER 0.5 Points + Rebounds
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🏀 Bub Carrington OVER 10.5 Points
We’re running it back.
Yesterday, we took Carrington over 9.5 points in this exact matchup — and he rewarded us with 13. Nothing changes here. Same spot. Same opportunity. Let’s do it again.
He’s projected to start at point guard once more with Trae Young and D’Angelo Russell still sidelined, and his recent production speaks for itself:
11+ points in 13 of his last 15 games (87%)
Averaging 12.3 points per game during that stretch
The matchup is favorable. The Pacers rank 26th in points allowed to point guards, and four of the last six PGs to face Indiana have cleared their points prop. Carrington has also scored 11+ in both prior meetings against the Pacers this season — including 13 against them less than 24 hours ago.
Other sportsbooks are shading this higher, with prices ranging from -129 to -143. That tells you everything you need to know about where the value sits.
🏀 Evan Mobley OVER 13.5 Points
Mobley has been a model of consistency this season:
14+ points in 36 of 43 games (84%)
Averaging 17.7 points per game
At first glance, the Hornets appear to be a tough defensive matchup, ranking 10th in overall points allowed. But here’s the key: they rank dead last (30th) in points allowed to power forwards.
Five of the last seven PFs to face Charlotte have gone over their points prop. Mobley himself dropped 14 against them on January 21st and has scored 14+ in five straight games versus the Hornets dating back to 2024.
The betting market agrees. Most books have this heavily juiced toward the over, with numbers sitting between -125 and -139.
Public betting trends also point toward a higher-scoring environment:
62% of money is on the game over
87% of money is on Cleveland to cover
🚩 The only concern: Mobley played just 19 minutes in his return from a calf injury yesterday. That said, he still scored 10 points in limited action against a top-15 defense. He averages 33 minutes per game on the season, and his workload should continue ramping up as he gets healthier.
🏀 Isaiah Hartenstein UNDER 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Everything here lines up for the under.
He has gone under this number in 13 of his last 15 games (87%) and is averaging just 19.6 PRA over his last 10. In the three games without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, he has finished at 25 or fewer PRA in all three.
His usage and efficiency are trending in the wrong direction:
Season average: 25.7 minutes
Last 5 games: 21.8 minutes
Shooting 64% on the season
Down to 55% over his last 10 games
The matchup helps us too. While the Nets rank 18th in points allowed to centers, they’re much tougher in peripheral stats — 4th in rebounds allowed and 6th in assists allowed. Six of the last nine centers to face Brooklyn have gone under their PRA line.
The market is aligned with this angle, as most sportsbooks have this shaded toward the under.
BONUS PICK FROM THE VIP SECTION TODAY 👇
🏀 John Collins OVER 14.5 Points + Assists
Collins has quietly been extremely reliable in this spot.
He’s cleared 15+ points + assists in:
8 of his last 9 games (89%)
15 of his last 20 games (75%)
During that stretch, he’s averaging roughly 17.5 P+A per game.
The Lakers rank 19th in assists allowed to power forwards — but more importantly, 25th in points allowed to the position. And scoring is where Collins does most of his damage.
Five of the last six PFs to face the Lakers have cleared their P+A line. Collins has also hit 18+ P+A in two of three meetings against LA this year — all with LeBron active.
Other books are heavily juicing this over, some as high as -154, reinforcing that this number is strong.
Hope you enjoyed the best free NBA picks for Underdog and PrizePicks today (Friday, February 20th)
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Download Betr and enter code BBSMikey when depositing $10 or more
Email me a screenshot and I'll hook you up! You'll ALSO get:
A free play/automatic win tonight (LeBron James over 0.5 PTS + REB)
$10 in your account before you even make a deposit
Up to $200 in bonus funds when you make your first deposit
Downloading Betr and using code BBSMikey is the easiest way to support Basement Brewed Sports, and it doesn't cost you a penny!