Courtland Sutton or Xavier Worthy: Who should I start in fantasy football? (Week 9, 2025 season)

When you're facing a tough start/sit decision on your fantasy football team, you may end up having to choose between Courtland Sutton or Xavier Worthy. Which player would Basement Brewed Fantasy Football recommend you start? Let's go through the details to find out.

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Game Scripts

The Broncos are entering this game as slim 1.5 point road underdogs with a low projected team total of just 19 points, the 4th lowest among all 28 teams on the week 9 slate. The narrow spread suggests a balanced offensive approach while the low projected team total suggests limited touchdown opportunities. With a low over/under of just 39.5 points — the lowest among all 14 games on the week 9 slate — and both teams sporting bottom 7 projected team totals, Broncos at Texans sets up as a defensive slugfest that will limit scoring chances and fantasy football fireworks.

The Chiefs are entering this game as slim 1.5 point road favorites with a dominant projected team total of 27 points. The narrow spread suggests a balanced offensive approach while the dominant projected team total suggests endless touchdown opportunities. With a mouthwatering over/under of 52.5 points — tied for the highest among all 14 games on the week 9 slate — and both teams sporting top 11 projected team totals of 25 or more, this game projects as a shootout you want to target in week 9 of fantasy football.

Positional Matchups

After 7 games, the Texans present a terrifying matchup for WRs, holding them to the 8th fewest catches, 10th fewest yards, 3rd fewest touchdowns and 4th fewest PPR points per game. Just 5 WRs in 7 games — Puka Nacua, Emeka Egbuka, Mike Evans, Zay Flowers, Jaxon Smith-Njigba — have been able to reach even just 10 PPR points against the Texans.

After 7 games, the Bills present a mediocre matchup for WRs, holding them to the 11th fewest catches, 11th fewest yards, 14th fewest touchdowns and 12th fewest PPR points per game. 8 WRs in 7 games have scored 11+ PPR points against the Bills. 4 of them — Zay Flowers, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Drake London — scored 15+ PPR points.

Courtland Sutton: Bottom Line

I expect Courtland Sutton to finish, on average, around 9–13 PPR points on ~6–9 targets (~4–6 catches, ~50–70 yards), and 0–1 TDs.

Xavier Worthy: Bottom Line

I expect Xavier Worthy to finish, on average, around 10–14 PPR points on ~6–9 targets (~4–6 catches, ~55–80 yards) with a live splash-play path to a TD.

Should you start Courtland Sutton or Xavier Worthy?

Rashee Rice has cut into Xavier Worthy's production levels, but the matchups here dictate the direction we should go. And even without the matchups, only one of these two options have true week-winning boom potential in any given week, and that's Xavier Worthy.

Week Winners + Discord = Winning your league in 2025

Portions of this article come directly from our Week Winner tool (formerly Heat Map), designed to help you make more confident decisions on your way to a championship. And our private Discord server features a specific Start/Sit channel where any questions you have can get answered in real time - plus our community of hardcore fantasy football players talking DFS, sports betting, dynasty, best ball, and more. From draft to trophy, we have you covered with every decision along the way.

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