Daniel Jones or Geno Smith: Who should I start in fantasy football? (Week 3, 2025 season)

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When you're facing a tough start/sit decision on your fantasy football team, you may end up having to choose between Daniel Jones or Geno Smith. Which player would Basement Brewed Fantasy Football recommend you start? Let's go through the details to find out.

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Game Scripts

The Colts are entering week 3 with a decent implied point total of 23.5 points — the 13th most among all 32 teams playing football this week — suggesting a slightly above-average amount of scoring opportunities and fantasy football fireworks. This is an offense you want exposure to in your week 3 lineups.

The Raiders are entering week 3 with an implied point total of just 20.5 points — tied for the 9th fewest among all 32 teams playing football this week — suggesting scoring opportunities and fantasy football fireworks will be limited. They're not an offense you need to *avoid* in week 3, but they're also a solid target to attack with the Commanders' defense. The 3.5 point spread is narrow enough to suggest a mostly balanced offensive approach, albeit one that could turn pass-heavy if the Raiders fall behind the Commanders early.

Daniel Jones: Bottom Line

High end QB 2 (fringe QB1). Floor of 12–14 fantasy points (Titans are allowing the 4th-fewest QB points and 5th-fewest QB rush yards; regression from 3 early rushing TDs; ~28–34 attempts, 0–1 TD). Ceiling of 22–26 fantasy points (23.5 implied total + hot start keep 2–3 total touchdowns in play; ~30–36 attempts with efficient passing and a short rushing touchdown).

Geno Smith: Bottom Line

Mid range QB 2. Floor of 10–13 fantasy points (low 20.5 team total, Commanders suppress pass TDs; ~32–40 attempts for ~220–250 yards, 0–1 TD with turnover risk). Ceiling of 19–23 fantasy points (game tilts pass-heavy → ~40–45 attempts, 270–320 yards and 2 TDs).

Should I start Daniel Jones or Geno Smith?

Daniel Jones is the clear pick for me here. He's had an electric start (over 26 FPPG) for a guy who entered this season averaging 15.9 fantasy points per game over 66 career contests where he threw 20+ pass attempts. He'll likely crash back to earth at some point but, for now, he's a borderline QB 1.

Week Winners + Discord = Winning your league in 2025

Portions of this article come directly from our Week Winner tool (formerly Heat Map), designed to help you make more confident decisions on your way to a championship. And our private Discord server features a specific Start/Sit channel where any questions you have can get answered in real time - plus our community of hardcore fantasy football players talking DFS, sports betting, dynasty, best ball, and more. From draft to trophy, we have you covered with every decision along the way.

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