David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson: Who should I start in fantasy football? (Week 10, 2025 season)

When you're facing a tough start/sit decision on your fantasy football team, you may end up having to choose between David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson. Which player would Basement Brewed Fantasy Football recommend you start? Let's go through the details to find out.

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Game Scripts

The Lions are entering this game as promising 9 point road favorites with a dominant projected team total of 29.5 points, the highest among all 28 teams on the week 10 slate. The promising spread suggests a run-heavy approach while the dominant projected team total suggests endless touchdown opportunities.

The Patriots are entering this game as slim 2 point road underdogs with a decent projected team total of 23.0 points, the 12th highest among all 28 teams on the week 10 slate. The narrow spread suggests a balanced offensive approach while the decent projected team total suggests serviceable touchdown opportunities. With a healthy over/under (48.5 points) and both teams sporting top 12 projected team totals, the Tom Brady Bowl (Pats at Bucs) projects as a shootout worth targeting in week 10 of fantasy football.

Positional Matchups

After 9 games, the Commanders present a mediocre matchup for RBs, allowing the 14th most rushing yards and 9th most receiving yards but limiting them to the 4th fewest catches, 13th fewest touchdowns, 14th fewest PPR points per game and 10th fewest PPR points per touch (0.8).

After 8 games, the Buccaneers present an interesting matchup for RBs, technically allowing the 11th most PPR points per game and 4th most PPR points per touch (1.0). On the ground, they're holding RBs to the 5th fewest rushing yards but allowing the 12th most rushing TDs. In the air, they're allowing the 4th most RB catches and most RB receiving yards but holding them to the 15th fewest RB receiving TDs.

David Montgomery: Bottom Line

I expect David Montgomery to finish, on average, around 10–14 PPR points on ~12–16 touches (~50–70 rushing yards, ~5–15 receiving yards on 1–3 catches) with 0–1 TD.

TreVeyon Henderson: Bottom Line

I expect TreVeyon Henderson to finish, on average, around 12–16 PPR points on ~15–19 touches (~60–85 scrimmage yards), with ~4–6 targets (~3–5 catches) and 0–1 touchdowns.

Should you start David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson?

Both of these games have great game environments that can lead to ceiling outcomes, but TreVeyon Henderson has the higher volume floor without Rhamondre Stevenson this week.

Week Winners + Discord = Winning your league in 2025

Portions of this article come directly from our Week Winner tool (formerly Heat Map), designed to help you make more confident decisions on your way to a championship. And our private Discord server features a specific Start/Sit channel where any questions you have can get answered in real time - plus our community of hardcore fantasy football players talking DFS, sports betting, dynasty, best ball, and more. From draft to trophy, we have you covered with every decision along the way.

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