Michael Wilson or Alec Pierce: Who should I start in fantasy football? (Week 12, 2025 season)

When you're facing a tough start/sit decision on your fantasy football team, you may end up having to choose between Michael Wilson or Alec Pierce. Which player would Basement Brewed Fantasy Football recommend you start? Let's go through the details to find out.

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Game Scripts

The Cardinals are entering this game as slim 2-point home underdogs with a mediocre projected team total of 22.5 points, the 14th most among all 28 teams on the week 12 slate. The narrow spread suggests a balanced offensive approach while the mediocre projected team total suggests modest touchdown opportunities. With a healthy over/under of 47.5 points and both teams sporting top 14 projected team totals, Jaguars @ Cardinals projects as a possible shootout with no shortage of touchdown opportunities and fantasy football fireworks.

The Colts are entering this game as slim 3-point road underdogs with a decent projected team total of 23.75 points, the 12th highest among all 28 teams on the week 12 slate. The narrow spread suggests a balanced offensive approach while the decent projected team total suggests serviceable touchdown opportunities. With a healthy over/under of 50.5 points and both teams sporting top 12 projected team totals, Colts @ Chiefs projects as a possible shootout with no shortage of touchdown opportunities and fantasy football fireworks.

Positional Matchups

After 10 games, the Jaguars present a friendly matchup for WRs, holding them to the 16th fewest yards while allowing the 10th most catches, 9th most touchdowns and 13th most PPR points per game. 11 WRs in 10 games have scored 11+ PPR points against the Jaguars.

After 10 games, the Chiefs present a tough matchup for WRs, allowing the 16th most catches while holding them to the 6th fewest receiving yards, 8th fewest receiving TDs, and the 8th fewest PPR points per game. 11 WRs in 10 games scored 10+ fantasy points against the Chiefs.

Michael Wilson: Bottom Line

I expect Michael Wilson to finish, on average, around 10–14 PPR points on ~8–11 targets (~5–7 catches, ~65–85 yards) with ~0–1 touchdowns as Arizona’s clear WR1 while Marvin Harrison sits.

Alec Pierce: Bottom Line

I expect Alec Pierce to finish, on average, around ~10–14 PPR points on ~6–8 targets (3–5 catches, ~65–85 yards) and ~0–1 touchdowns in a volatile downfield role.

Should you start Michael Wilson or Alec Pierce?

I feel much more confident that Michael Wilson gets there on volume, so I'll lean that for most managed leagues, especially if they're PPR. If you need a big ceiling play, though, going with the volatility of Alec Pierce isn't a terrible decision.

Week Winners + Discord = Winning your league in 2025

Portions of this article come directly from our Week Winner tool (formerly Heat Map), designed to help you make more confident decisions on your way to a championship. And our private Discord server features a specific Start/Sit channel where any questions you have can get answered in real time - plus our community of hardcore fantasy football players talking DFS, sports betting, dynasty, best ball, and more. From draft to trophy, we have you covered with every decision along the way.

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