Sean Tucker or Aaron Jones: Who should I start in fantasy football? (Week 12, 2025 season)

When you're facing a tough start/sit decision on your fantasy football team, you may end up having to choose between Sean Tucker or Aaron Jones. Which player would Basement Brewed Fantasy Football recommend you start? Let's go through the details to find out.

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Game Scripts

The Buccaneers are entering this game as uncomfortable 7-point road underdogs with a subpar projected team total of 21.5 points, the 11th fewest among all 28 teams on the week 12 slate. The uncomfortable spread suggests a potentially pass-heavy approach while the subpar projected team total suggests limited touchdown opportunities. Buccaneers @ Rams DOES have a strong over/under of 49.5 points, suggesting a sliver of shootout potential if the Bucs can exceed their modest scoring expectations.

The Vikings are entering this game as uncomfortable 6-point road underdogs with a dangerously low projected team total of 17.0 points, the 3rd fewest among all 28 teams on the week 12 slate. The uncomfortable spread suggests a potentially pass-heavy approach while the dangerously low projected team total suggests touchdown opportunities will be severely limited. This is a strong opportunity to fire up the Packers D/ST.

Positional Matchups

After 10 games, the Jaguars present a friendly matchup for WRs, holding them to the 16th fewest yards while allowing the 10th most catches, 9th most touchdowns and 13th most PPR points per game. 11 WRs in 10 games have scored 11+ PPR points against the Jaguars.

After 10 games, the Rams present a terrifying matchup for RBs, allowing the 9th most RB catches and 11th most RB receiving yards but otherwise holding them to the 8th fewest rushing yards, 2nd fewest touchdowns, 4th fewest PPR points per game and 3rd fewest PPR points per touch (0.70). Just 6 RBs in 10 games have been able to reach 10+ PPR points against the Rams despite 10 of them handling 11+ touches — 7 of which handled 19 or more.

Sean Tucker: Bottom Line

I expect Sean Tucker to finish, on average, around 8–12 PPR points on ~10–14 touches (~35–55 rushing yards, ~10–20 receiving yards), ~2 targets, and ~0–1 TD in a brutally tough matchup.

Aaron Jones: Bottom Line

I expect Aaron Jones to finish, on average, around 9–12 PPR points on ~12–15 touches (~40–55 rushing yards, ~15–25 receiving yards), ~3–5 targets, and ~0–1 touchdowns in this dangerously low-scoring, negative-script spot

Should you start Sean Tucker or Aaron Jones?

Sean Tucker is easily one of the hottest pickups heading into Week 12, but he's getting an awful matchup for his skill set. Is it possible he gets more work in the passing game here? Sure, but I feel a bit more confident that the role for Aaron Jones is best suited for what the game script may dictate.

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Portions of this article come directly from our Week Winner tool (formerly Heat Map), designed to help you make more confident decisions on your way to a championship. And our private Discord server features a specific Start/Sit channel where any questions you have can get answered in real time - plus our community of hardcore fantasy football players talking DFS, sports betting, dynasty, best ball, and more. From draft to trophy, we have you covered with every decision along the way.

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