Zay Flowers or Stefon Diggs: Who should I start in fantasy football? (Week 12, 2025 season)

When you're facing a tough start/sit decision on your fantasy football team, you may end up having to choose between Zay Flowers or Stefon Diggs. Which player would Basement Brewed Fantasy Football recommend you start? Let's go through the details to find out.

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Game Scripts

The Ravens are entering this game as dominant 13-point home favorites with a dominant projected team total of 29.0 points, the 2nd highest among all 28 teams on the week 12 slate. The dominant spread suggests a very run-heavy approach while the dominant projected team total suggests endless touchdown opportunities.

The Patriots are entering this game as promising 8-point road favorites with a dominant projected team total of 29.0 points, the 2nd highest among all 28 teams on the week 12 slate. The promising spread suggests a potentially run-heavy approach while the dominant projected team total suggests endless touchdown opportunities. Patriots @ Bengals DOES have a strong over/under of 50.5 points, suggesting a sliver of shootout potential if the Bengals can stay competitive.

Positional Matchups

After 10 games, the Jets present a mediocre matchup for WRs, allowing the 15th most yards while limiting them to the 14th fewest catches, 10th fewest touchdowns and 16th fewest PPR points per game. 15 WRs in 10 games have scored 10+ PPR points against the Jets.

After 10 games, the Bengals present a mediocre matchup for WRs, holding them to the 11th fewest catches, 14th fewest yards, 8th fewest touchdowns and 10th fewest PPR points per game. 13 WRs in 10 games have scored 10+ PPR points against the Bengals.

Zay Flowers: Bottom Line

I expect Zay Flowers to finish, on average, around 12–16 PPR points on ~7–9 targets, (5–7 catches, ~65–85 yards) and ~0–1 touchdowns in a high-scoring environment but supremely run-heavy game script.

Stefon Diggs: Bottom Line

I expect Stefon Diggs to finish, on average, around 12–16 PPR points on ~7–9 targets (~5–7 catches, ~55–75 yards) with 0–1 TD in this high-scoring environment but potentially run-heavy script.

Should you start Zay Flowers or Stefon Diggs?

Both Zay Flowers and Stefon Diggs have pretty similar run-ups to this game - both are in a possibly run-dominated game, both should be targeted similarly, and both are going against defenses that sit middle-of-the-pack against wide receivers. Given how condense the Ravens pass game is relative tot he Patriots one, I'm inclined to lean Zay Flowers here.

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Portions of this article come directly from our Week Winner tool (formerly Heat Map), designed to help you make more confident decisions on your way to a championship. And our private Discord server features a specific Start/Sit channel where any questions you have can get answered in real time - plus our community of hardcore fantasy football players talking DFS, sports betting, dynasty, best ball, and more. From draft to trophy, we have you covered with every decision along the way.

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