Week 11 Waiver Wire (and Wake Early Wednesday)


Week 11 Waiver Wire (and Wake Early Wednesday)

Below are the players I'm considering adding to my rosters before week 11 kicks off. All of these players are near or below 50% rostered in Yahoo leagues and therefore likely to be available in most leagues.


Important note: I'm typically pretty frugal with my waiver priority and FAAB, usually only spending on a player that can win me the week. In other words, if they're just "depth" adds and nice-to-haves that might not even see my lineup, then I'd rather wake up early on Wednesday morning and add them for "free" instead of using a waiver claim for them.


Pro Tip: It's a little extra effort, but I have a recurring Wednesday morning "appointment" (reminder) on my calendar with a link to a Google Doc. Inside that google doc are the links to alllllll 20+ of my leagues followed by a bulleted list of who I plan to add/drop in each one. This helps me keep track without spending waiver priority for convenience, a short-sighted move.

Quarterback

As usual, there are no QBs that I'd recommend using priority or FAAB on this week. Here are a few streamers to consider after waivers clear if you're in a pinch:

  • Marcus Mariota - 33% rostered - Mariota is averaging a respectable 15.66 fantasy points per game, including 42 rushing yards per game over his last 6. The Falcons opened the week 11 slate with a Vegas Sportsbook (DraftKings) implied total of 26.75 points, the 4th most on the entire 28 team slate. With a 50.5 point over/under—the highest on the 14 game slate—this game is expected to be a shootout with the Chicago Bears.

  • Jimmy Garoppolo - 64% rostered - Garoppolo is averaging 17.38 fantasy points per game over his last 5 and the 49ers have an implied total of 26 points, the 6th highest on the week 11 slate. Garoppolo gets a Cardinals defense in week 11 that's allowing 19.61 fantasy points per game to opposing QBs, a bottom 5 unit in football.

  • Daniel Jones - 64% rostered - Daniel Jones is averaging a solid 16.5 fantasy points per game this season and in week 11 gets a Lions defense that's allowing the MOST fantasy points per game to QBs (22.78). His Giants have an implied week 11 total of 24.75 points, the 7th most on the 28 team slate.

Running Back

There are two RBs I'd consider using waiver priority or FAAB on this week:

  • Rachaad White - 45% rostered - Rachaad White technically earned the start in week 10 and had 11 touches vs Leonard Fournette's 14 even before Lenny got hurt (notable considering White's previous season/career high in a game was 11 touches just the week before). Fournette missed the rest of the game with a hip injury, allowing White to finish with 22 touches—all carries—for 105 scoreless yards (10.5 PPR points). Fournette and the Bucs are on bye this week to give Fournette another week to heal, but it's possible White enters week 12 as an unquestioned lead RB if Fournette sits, making him a possible RB 1. At worst, Lenny plays, and White has still worked his way into flex consideration.

  • Isiah Pacheco - 24% rostered - Isiah Pacheco played a season/career high—by far—56% of the Chiefs' snaps in week 10, getting 16 touches—all carries—for 82 scoreless yards (8.2 PPR points). Meanwhile, Clyde Edwards-Helaire played just 4 snaps and didn't record a single touch. Jerick McKinnon has 16 targets and 12 catches over the last 2 weeks and is entrenched as the team's pass catching back which will cap Pacheco's upside, but it's clear the Chiefs are shedding one of the heads in their three-headed attack. In week 11, the Chiefs are 6.5 point favorites against a Chargers defense that came into week 10 allowing the 2nd most PPR points per game to RBs.

Beyond that, here are several others to consider adding to your squad after waivers clear:

  • Jerick McKinnon - 16% rostered - Jerick McKinnon has 22.2 PPR points combined over the last 2 weeks on 16 touches—including a whopping 12 catches on a whopping 16 targets—for 102 scoreless yards. He's a PPR flex during bye weeks and, in week 11, the Chiefs face a Chargers defense that came into week 10 allowing the 2nd most PPR points per game to RBs.

  • Elijah Mitchell - 58% rostered - Elijah Mitchell is alive and well. He surprisingly had 19 touches—even Christian McCaffrey "only" had 18—for 88 scoreless yards. He had just 1 catch on 2 targets, but could luck finding 18 carries on the waiver wire during bye weeks. He's over 50% rostered but still available in 4 of every 10 leagues.

  • Latavius Murray - 26% rostered - has 10 or more touches in each of the last 4 games. In a rare sighting, the Broncos are favorites in week 11 against a Raiders defense that came into week 10 allowing the 5th most PPR points per game to RBs before Jonathan Taylor dropped 163 scrimmage yards and a TD on them. It's gross, it's ugly, but Latavius is a flex with upside in week 11.

  • Tyler Allgeier - 59% rostered - Surprisingly out-touched Cordarrelle Patterson 11 to 6 in week 10. Unfortunately scored just 3.3 PPR points while Caleb Huntley and Avery Williams also mixed in for 5 and 4 touches, respectively. He's likely just a bench decoration, but he should be rostered. He is a home-favored RB against a bottom-10 Bears defense in week 11.

  • Kyren Williams - 42% rostered - Kyren Williams played 27% of the Rams' snaps in his NFL debut which was well behind Darrell Henderson (57%) but ahead of Cam Akers (17%). He had less touches (4) than both Akers (6) an Henderson (7) but out-targeted (3, all of which he caught) them both (1 each), and out-gained them 39 yards to 32 (Henderson) and 22 (Akers). Williams role figures to grow as the season goes on become increasingly clear Henderson and Akers ain't it.

  • Jaylen Warren - 27% rostered - Jaylen Warren hit double digit touches for the first time in his career on Sunday, scoring 10.7 PPR points on 12 targets—including 3 targets/catches—for 77 scoreless yards. The Steelers have been talking for weeks about getting Warren more touches and it seems like they're finally focused on turning him into a deep PPR flex.

  • Alexander Mattison - 40% rostered - not a standalone option, but Mattison is a league-winning bench stash if something happens to Dalvin Cook.

Wide Receiver

There are two wide receivers I'd consider using priority or FAAB on this week:

  • Christian Watson - 9% rostered - the 2nd round rookie (finally) exploded onto the scene in week 10, playing a season/career high 84% of the Packers' offensive snaps and using the opportunity to post an explosive 32.7 PPR points on 8 targets, 4 catches, 107 yards and 3 TDs, surpassing Cooper Kupp as the previous season-high WR against the Cowboys (25.9). There will be inconsistency and growing pains and this was likely the best game Watson will have all year, but the high-upside rookie certainly earned more playing time—and Rodgers' trust—and has an opportunity to make some much-needed noise down the stretch.

  • Kadarius Toney - 51% rostered - Kadarius Toney jumped up from 9% of the snaps in week 9 to 44% of the snaps in week 10, scoring 19 PPR points on 5 targets, 4 catches, 57 yards, 1 TD and 33 rushing yards. He'll likely continue to earn playing time and has a possible shootout in week 11 with the Chargers while Mecole Hardman is injured and JuJu Smith-Schuster is in concussion protocol after a terrifying week 10 hit.

Beyond that, here are several WRs to consider adding after waivers run:

  • Parris Campbell - 18% rostered - The re-insertion of Matt Ryan is the rebirth of Parris Campbell. In his last 3 games with Ryan—not Sam Ehlinger—throwing the football, Campbell is averaging 20.77 PPR points per game, 10.67 targets, 8 catches, and 67.67 yards with 3 TDs. Tiny sample size, but those are WR 1 numbers, y'all.

Note: Candidly, I'd consider using a waiver claim on Campbell. The only reason he's not listed that way is because no one—even "experts"—seems to be talking about him. He's a savvy "wake early Wednesday" addition.

  • Van Jefferson (7% rostered) and Ben Skowronek (1% rostered) - (Allen Robinson is the priority add if available; he's rostered in 62% of leagues) - Cooper Kupp left Sunday's game and didn't return. Coach McVay said afterwards that "it didn't look good, it didn't sound good." Monday reports said Kupp "appears to have avoided a worst-case scenario with the injury." In his absence, Ben Skowronek annoyingly played a season high 98% of the Rams' snaps while Van Jefferson played a season-low 28% of the snaps (Allen Robinson played 92%). Skowronek led the WRs in targets with 7 but caught just 2 of them for 14 scoreless yards. Meanwhile, Jefferson caught all 3 of his targets for 27 yards and 1 TD (11.7 PPR points). Robinson caught 4 of 6 targets for 44 scoreless yards. Keep an eye on the injury report but it seems likely Kupp will miss sometime, freeing up 11.6 targets per game that need to find a new host. It's unclear how McVay and Stafford will prioritize the WRs from here, but one of them is sure to come into fantasy value.

  • Donovan Peoples-Jones - 35% rostered - has 11 or more PPR points in 5 of the last 6 games, including each of the last 4. He's also high on Basement Brewed Fantasy Football's "TD Regression Cheat Sheet" indicating he's "due" to score a TD any time now. Deshaun Watson's return is a few weeks away.

  • Darius Slayton - 6% rostered - has 11 or more PPR points in 4 out of his last 5 games. Gets a potential week 11 shootout with a Lions defense that came into week 10 allowing the 5th most PPR points per game to WRs.

  • Julio Jones - 17% rostered - quietly has 10 or more PPR points in 3 of 5 games he's played this season, including 2 of the last 3. Bucs on bye in week 11 so he'll be free.

  • Zay Jones - 22% rostered- popped for 14.8 PPR points on 10 targets, 8 catches and 68 scoreless yards. The Jaguars are on bye so he *should* come free, making for a solid stash with shootouts with the bottom-5 Ravens and Lions after the bye.

  • Nico Collins - 13% rostered - Nico Collins has 10 or more PPR points and 5 or more targets in 3 of the last 4 games he's played.

  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine - 0% rostered - Nick Westbrook-Ikhine came out of nowhere for 28.9 PPR points on 8 targets, 5 catches, 119 yards and 2 TDs in week 5. I'm not using any sort of waiver priority on him and I'm skeptical that he's ever useful for fantasy football again considering he hadn't hit 5 targets or 10 PPR points in any of the previous 8 games despite playing a similar amount of snaps and, worse than that, scored exactly 0 PPR points in 3 of the previous 4 games. If you are desperate for a one-hit-wonder flier after waivers run, this is probably your guy.

Tight End

As usual, there are no tight ends I would use waiver priority on (unless Cole Kmet is available). Candidly, the week 11 TE pool is somehow even more disgusting than usual. Here's who I'd consider in a week 11 pinch however:

  • Cole Kmet - 59% rostered - Back to back games of 21 or more PPR points and the main beneficiary of Chicago's elite offensive eruption. Needs to be rostered in 100% of leagues from here.

  • Juwan Johnson - 12% rostered - It's gross, but Juwan Johnson has 12 or more PPR points in 3 of his last 4 games, including games of 15.4 and 20.2 PPR points.

Team Defenses

I'll never use waiver priority on a defense, but there are several defenses I'd be looking to stream in week 10 if I can find them. Assuming I can't get the Eagles (98% rostered), Bills (99% rostered), Patriots (81% rostered) or 49ers (92% rostered) I'd be going for the:

  • Baltimore Ravens - 66% rostered - their opponent, the Carolina Panthers, are expected to score just 15(ish) points, the fewest on the 28 team week 11 slate.

  • New Orleans Saints - 64% rostered - their opponent, the Los Angeles Rams, are expected to score just 18(ish) points, the 4th fewest on the 28 team week 11 slate.

  • Cincinnati Bengals - 27% rostered - their opponent, the Pittsburgh Steelers, are expected to score just 18.5(ish) points, the 6th fewest on the 28 team week 11 slate.

  • Washington Commanders - 5% rostered - their opponent, the Houston Texans, are expected to score just 19(ish) points, the 8th fewest on the 28 team week 11 slate.

  • Green Bay Packers - 43% rostered - their opponent, the Tennessee Titans, are expected to score just 19.25(ish) points, the 9th fewest on the 28 team week 11 slate.

  • Denver Broncos - 56% rostered - their opponent, the Las Vegas Raiders, are expected to score just 19.5(ish) points, the 10th fewest on the 28 team week 11 slate.


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