Week 5 Waiver Wire (and Wake Early Wednesday)
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Week 5 Waiver Wire
Below are the players I'm considering adding to my rosters before week 4 kicks off. All of these players are near or below 50% rostered in Yahoo leagues and therefore likely to be available in most leagues.
Important note: I'm typically pretty frugal with my waiver priority and FAAB, usually only spending on a player that can win me the week. In other words, if they're just "depth" adds and nice-to-haves that might not even see my lineup, then I'd rather wake up early on Wednesday morning and add them for "free" instead of using a waiver claim for them.
Pro Tip: It's a little extra effort, but I have a recurring Wednesday morning "appointment" (reminder) on my calendar with a link to a Google Doc. Inside that google doc are the links to alllllll 20+ of my leagues followed by a bulleted list of who I plan to add/drop in each one. This helps me keep track without spending waiver priority for convenience, a short-sighted move.
There aren't any QBs I would use waiver priority on, but here is who I am looking to add in leagues where I'm streaming QBs:
Jared Goff (53% rostered) - I don't think Goff will be 53% rostered much longer after a 34.22 point explosion without Amon-Ra St. Brown and DJ Chark. In week 5 he gets a Patriots defense that has allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game to QBs.
Carson Wentz (55% rostered) - It's been an ugly two weeks following two 28+ point weeks. It's also been two tough defenses in Philly and Dallas. I'm optimistic Carson Wentz will get back on track at home in a soft matchup with a Titans defense allowing the 6th most fantasy points to QBs.
Winston and tannehill
I'm not thrilled with the waiver wire options at any position this week. There are three running backs I'd MAYBE use my waiver priority on depending on how needy I am at RB:
Raheem Mostert (50% rostered) - I'm hesitant to use waiver priority on Raheem Mostert (and everyone below). That said, it's encouraging that Mostert played a season high—by far—72% of the snaps while Chase Edmonds saw the field just 28% of the time. Edmonds found the end zone, but Mostert out-touched him 17-7, and it's clear Mostert is the preferred 1A moving forward (for now). In week 5 he has a gorgeous draw against a Jets defense allowing the 7th most PPR points per game to opposing RBs.
Mike Boone (3% rostered) - With Javonte Williams out for the season, Melvin Gordon has been elevated to Denver's RB 1 while Mike Boone, by default, becomes the Broncos' de facto RB 2. What remains to be seen is whether Denver still embraces the 1-2 punch philosophy or of that was just a product of having two above-average backs. They also signed Latavius Murray off of New Orleans' practice squad, indicating they may not be content with what they have in the backfield. Personally, I'd much rather wait and see if I can add Boone early on Wednesday than I would spend any sort of priority on him. But I understand not taking the chance.
Tyler Allgeier (19% rostered) and Caleb Huntley (1% rostered) - With Cordarrelle Patterson on IR, the Falcons will turn to a combination of Tyler Allgeier, Caleb Huntley, and likely one other back we'll learn about in the coming days. With this likely turning into a frustrating committee, I'm not using waiver priority on any of them unless desperate. Given the choice, I'd prefer Allgeier over Huntley.
There's several other RBs that I wouldn't use priority on but they're on my "wake early Wednesday" list:
Latavius Murray (1% rostered): see above Mike Boone note. What if Murray is the next man up after Melvin?
Brian Robinson (54% rostered) - Brian Robinson can return to the field as soon as week 5. Prior to getting shot—what a weird way to start a fantasy football sentence—Robinson was rapidly taking Antonio Gibson's job and looked like the RB1 headed towards week 1. It's possible Gibson did enough in the last few weeks to reclaim his job, but Robinson should be rostered as an intriguing upside stash.
Rachaad White (27% rostered) - Rachaad White played 38% of the Buccaneers' snaps in week 4, scored his first TD, and set new career highs (lol) in targets (5), catches (5) and receiving yards (50). With Leonard Fournette struggling, it wouldn't be a surprise to see Tampa get their 3rd round pick more involved moving forward. And he's a potential league winner if Fournette gets hurt.
Deon Jackson (0% rostered) - there's probably not enough people talking about Jonathan Taylor's injury. Sounds like there's a chance JT plays in week 5 but, if he doesn't, Jackson seems likely to take on a decent chunk of early down runs while Nyheim Hines maintains his pass-catching role (and takes on a bigger rushing share).
There is 1 wide receiver I'd MAYBE use my waiver priority on this week if available:
George Pickens (40% rostered): 15 targets in the last two weeks and played the best game of his career with Kenny Pickett in the lineup (8 targets, 6 catches and 102 yards). We need to be reasonable with expectations, but Pickens belongs on rosters, especially if this offense improves with the new QB.
There are several other receivers I wouldn't use priority on, but they're on my "wake early Wednesday" list:
Michael Gallup (41% rostered) - Michael Gallup played just 64% of the Cowboys' snaps in his week 4 return, but that didn't stop him from getting 3 targets, 2 catches, 24 yards and 1 TD from backup QB Cooper Rush. Look for Gallup to continue to play more time with possible liftoff potential when Dak Prescott returns.
Donovan Peoples-Jones (8% rostered) - here we are again. DPJ totaled 20 targets in weeks 1 and 4 but just 4 targets sandwiched in between in weeks 2 and 3. This is the rollercoaster we're going to ride with him all season. He's available if you're desperate at WR, but don't go crazy with expectations here.
Corey Davis (25% rostered) - 7 targets, 5 catches, 74 yards and 1 TD with Zach Wilson back at QB. Jets will see negative game script (and elevated passing volume) all season.
Jahan Dotson (51% rostered) - yet another TD for Jahan Dotson on 4 targets, 3 catches and 43 yards. The low target counts remain a concern (TD or bust), but the guy is a playmaker playing 87+% snaps in an offense that's going to have to continue to throw a lot
The TE pool is ugly this week. There aren't any I'd consider using priority on but here's a few I'm considering adding on "wake early Wednesday."
Hayden Hurst (21% rostered) - 21 targets in 4 games, now gets a week 5 shootout with a Ravens defense allowing the 13th most fantasy points to TEs.
Tyler Conklin (42% rostered) - Concerning that he had his lowest targets and catches with Zach Wilson under center. Still, 5 targets, 3 catches and 52 yards is fine for fantasy's weakest position. He has a week 5 date with a Dolphins defense allowing the 5th most fantasy points to TEs.
Cameron Brate (4% rostered) - 14 targets over the last two weeks. Beware, however; Tampa was missing all three of their top pass catchers in week 3, and had a negative game script in week 4 that elevated passing volume. He belongs on your radar but is likely better treated as fool's gold.
Here are the defenses I'd be looking to stream in week 5:
Minnesota Vikings (42% rostered) - They host a Chicago Bears "offense" that's expected to score just 18.25 points in week 5.
Jacksonville Jaguars (15% rostered) - averaging 11.25 fantasy points per game and host a Texans offense in week 5 that's expected to score just 18.75 points.